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Line of Best Fit

A line of best fit  (or "trend" line) is a straight line that best represents the data on a scatter plot. 
This line may pass through some of the points, none of the points, or all of the points.

 You can examine lines of best fit with:
    
1.  paper and pencil only
      2.  a combination of graphing calculator and
           paper and pencil
      3.  or solely with the graphing calculator
 

   Example:  Is there a relationship between the fat grams and the total calories
                                in fast food?

Sandwich Total Fat (g) Total Calories
Hamburger 9 260
Cheeseburger 13 320
Quarter Pounder 21 420
Quarter Pounder with Cheese 30 530
Big Mac 31 560
Arch Sandwich Special 31 550
Arch Special with Bacon 34 590
Crispy Chicken 25 500
Fish Fillet 28 560
Grilled Chicken 20 440
Grilled Chicken Light 5 300

Paper and Pencil Solution:

1.  Prepare a scatter plot of the data on graph paper.

2.  Using a strand of spaghetti, position the spaghetti so that the plotted points are as close to the strand as possible.
 

3.  Find two points that you think will be on the "best-fit" line.  Perhaps you chose the points (9, 260) and (30, 530).  Different people may choose different points. 

4.  Calculate the slope of the line through your two points (rounded to three decimal places).
       
            

5.  Write the equation of the line.  This equation can now be used to predict information that was not plotted in the scatter plot.  For example, you can use the equation to find the total calories based upon 22 grams of fat.
                 Equation:                              Prediction based on 22 grams of fat:
                                                  

Different people may choose different points and arrive at different equations.  All of them are "correct", but which one is actually the "best"?  To determine the actual "best" fit, we will use a graphing calculator.

Graphing Calculator Solution:

1.  Enter the data in the calculator lists.  Place the data in L1 and L2
     STAT, #1Edit, type values into the lists


 

2.  Prepare a scatter plot of the data.  Set up for the scatterplot.
      2nd StatPlot - choose the first icon - choices
      shown at right.  Choose ZOOM #9 ZoomStat.
     
Graph shown below.
                    
 

 

3.  Have the calculator determine the line of best fit.
        STAT → CALC #4 LinReg(ax+b)

      Include the parameters L1, L2, Y1.
         (Y1 comes from VARS → YVARS, #Function, Y1)

                     
You now have the values of a and b needed to write the equation of the actual line of best fit.  See values at the right.
            y = 11.73128088x + 193.8521475

 

4.  Graph the line of best fit.  Simply hit GRAPH.

To get a predicted value within the window, hit TRACE, up arrow, and type the desired value.  The screen below shows x = 22.


 

 

 


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